TAMPA — The Green Bay Packers (1-2) head to Raymond James Stadium on Sunday for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff against the winless Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-3). Green Bay enters the matchup as a 4-point favorite, looking to capitalize on a significant personnel shift for the home side. Buccaneers starting quarterback Baker Mayfield has been ruled out due to a dislocated right thumb, forcing undrafted rookie Jalon Daniels into his first career NFL start.
The Buccaneers’ winless start is largely attributed to offensive struggles and high-impact errors rather than defensive failure. Tampa Bay currently ranks sixth in the league in EPA/play allowed (-0.14), yet they have been hampered by a league-high 30 points surrendered off turnovers. In their Week 3 loss to Minnesota, Mayfield exited with his thumb injury, and Daniels finished the game 0-for-3 with an interception. The team also faces injury concerns at wide receiver, with Jalen McMillan sidelined by a knee issue.
For Green Bay, the path to victory involves neutralizing Tampa Bay’s aggressive blitz package, which ranks third in frequency (43.4%) but struggles to generate consistent pressure. Packers quarterback Jordan Love faces his own challenges, having been pressured on 44.7% of his dropbacks this season. With Green Bay’s rushing attack currently ranked last in EPA (-0.41), the offensive strategy is expected to rely on quick-game timing and perimeter passing to exploit the Buccaneers' defensive front.